The conventional wisdom coming into this series was that the younger, less experienced Thunder might well not stand up to the level of play the battle tested Spurs were at.
'This is the craziest series I've ever been involved in,' Spurs legend Tim Duncan said. The Thunder, who averaged 105.5 points in the previous two games and benefited so greatly from Ibaka's two.
But the Thunder have plenty of experience, too. We thought all season they were the team to beat in the West, that didn’t change until San Antonio got hot. The Thunder have been together for years, they have grown through the playoffs each year. They’ve become battle tested. They have added guys like Kendrick Perkins and Derek Fisher who have have rings. Even in these playoffs we have seen them evolve.
The Thunder are ready. They showed it Monday night in Game 5.
San Antonio played the game of a desperate team — they altered the starting lineup that had so recently won 10 straight playoff games, they played with spurts of incredible tenacity. San Antonio wanted this.
Oklahoma City withstood the storms, made their plays, came back and went on to win 108-103 (Stephen Jackson’s last shot three was waived off) and take a 3-2 lead in the Western Conference finals. OKC can close it out Wednesday night at home and advance to the NBA finals.
There comes a time in every series where the coach who realizes it is really slipping away from him starts making desperate moves with his lineup. When he’s willing to try anything to find a combination that works, to change the pace. It almost never works.
For Game 5 Gregg Popovich inserted Manu Ginobili into the starting lineup. He early on tried small lineups. It worked for a minute and the Spurs were up 8 quickly.
But the Thunder are experienced, they do not rattle easily, even on the road. They responded with a 9-0 run of their own and took the lead back before the end of the first quarter. As it had the last couple games, the athleticism of the Thunder disrupted the Spurs offense. The Spurs were out of synch. Their decisions were slow, the ball movement not crisp. Do that and the long, athletic Thunder can recover and contest shots. San Antonio shot just 39.5 percent in the first half with 11 turnovers. Yet they were only down 8, 52-44 at the break.
The start of the second half was like the start of the first, Ginobili was knocking down everything — he finished with 34 points on 21 shots. Tony Paker was defending Russell Westbrook the length of the court and the Spurs were hot, and 18-4 run. They took the lead, they looked like the old Spurs.
And the Thunder weathered the storm. Like a veteran team. They retook the lead, just like they did in the first half. Their defense was good enough, their offense was too much for the Spurs to stop. Kevin Durant had 27 points, Westbrook 23, Harden 20 on just 11 shots (including the dagger four point play). As a team, the Thunder shot 50 percent.
They were flat out better.
Call it a passing of the torch if you want, but we knew all season OKC was the team to beat. And it’s not like the Spurs passed the torch — OKC has ripped it out of their hands. They cranked up the defensive pressure, their offensive ball movement has taken a leap forward, they have been stellar.
They have been what we expect of contenders. And now they are one win away from the finals. Which they earned.
Just like that the series is tied. What to make of the thrilling back-and-forth battle between the Thunder and Spurs so far? Who will win the pivotal Game 5 (ESPN Radio, 8 p.m. ET)? We turn to our 5-on-5 crew for answers.
J.A. Adande, ESPN.com: Fact. It's not so much that they lost both games in Oklahoma City, it's the way they lost. The 21 turnovers in Game 3. The lack of urgency for much of Game 4. Neither were signs of a veteran team poised to grab the series by the throat.
Kevin Arnovitz, ESPN.com: Fiction. I expected a band of crafty vets and skilled role players who pop the ball around the court with surgical precision, but are occasionally vulnerable to the athletic forays of a younger opponent. Sounds about right. Sometimes we forget that teams are never as good as their best basketball and never as lousy as their worst.
Marc Stein, ESPN.com: Fiction. The Thunder just played the two best T-E-A-M games I've ever seen them play. Everybody was involved. I know that the Spurs had a 20-game winning streak, which kept them unbeaten for nearly 50 days, but I've come to praise the guys who ended all that as opposed to tying the weekend's monumental momentum swing to what the Spurs couldn't get done on the road. When Serge Ibaka, Kendrick Perkins and Nick Collison shoot a combined 22-for-25, it's probably time for some hat-tips.
David Thorpe, Scouts Inc.: Fiction. This just in: The Thunder are very, very good. Perhaps even great. This is exactly why I expected the series to go seven games.
Justin Verrier, ESPN.com: Fact, if only because the Spurs, after rolling off 10 straight in the playoffs and 20 consecutive wins overall, had begun to elicit KG-spittle-flying-anything's-possible-type of fantasies for what they could accomplish the rest of the way here. That the young Thunder, led by their formidable complementary players, could ding the San Antonio machine twice in a row is surprising. But that's simply a product of how good the old guys looked to begin with.
Adande: Fact. I would not have expected them to beat the Spurs at half-court execution, but they have. Kevin Durant has figured out the Spurs more than they've figured him out. And, like the Spurs, I didn't count on Thabo Sefolosha, Serge Ibaka and Kendrick Perkins winning games with their shooting, but they've responded to the Spurs' daring them to do so.
Arnovitz: Fact. I'm not surprised the Thunder have played the Spurs even through four games, but did we really expect this kind of evolution on such a short turnaround? The defensive maturity the Thunder showed in Game 3, the ball movement to the weak side, this general level of refinement to their game -- it's all come together a bit ahead of schedule.
Stein: Fact. Because, as stated, these last two games have been the two best T-E-A-M performances from the Thunder that I can ever remember seeing. It's as if they watched America swoon over the way that the Spurs played those first three quarters in Game 2 and decided: 'Maybe this letting-everybody-touch-the-ball thing really is the way to go.'
Thorpe: Fiction. See above.
Verrier: Fiction. Any major setback in OKC is usually chalked up to age and inexperience. (There's always next year, right?) But its grip on the 'elite' tag has been too tight for too long for that to be an excuse, especially in its second straight trip to the West's final rodeo. That the Thunder are finally sticking with the veteran-laden Spurs merely reaffirms the perception this team has worn longer than Russell Westbrook has worn lenseless glasses.
Adande: Thabo Sefolosha guarding Tony Parker. Maybe it's not as big as it has been made out to be, but it has played a role in the Thunder's ability to neutralize Parker the past two games. Even worse for San Antonio, no role players have come through with a podium-worthy game to make up for Parker's subpar performances.
Arnovitz: The Game 3 matchup between Thabo Sefolosha and primary playmakers for San Antonio reset the tone for the entire series. After Oklahoma City got shredded in Games 1 and 2, Sefolosha was the first guy on the Thunder defensively to look across the court and say, 'Wait a minute. This is doable.'
Stein: I've got to go with Thabo Sefolosha on Tony Parker. With Manu Ginobili having suddenly gone quiet and the Spurs' famously deep bench starting to look a bit thin for the first time all season, Parker's production dip these past two games has been a huge problem for San Antonio. I've never bought into the whole 'this is Tony's team now' stuff, but he can't be this quiet if the Spurs want to make it back to the Finals. San Antonio has to find a workable counter.
Thorpe: Matchups are overrated at this level. So much defensive help is available. But the success of Kendrick Perkins and Serge Ibaka on offense has been huge for OKC, as has all of the Thunder's athleticism to challenge the Spurs' precision. It has disrupted their rhythm.
Verrier: So far, it's Thabo versus Tony. Parker, an MVP candidate this regular season, keeps the gears grinding for this team, and the defense of Sefolosha, and the rest of the Thunder, has managed to gunk up San Antone's beautiful game. But keep an eye on the bigs: The Spurs now have to be on red alert when Serge Ibaka catches in the midrange, and the Thunder will have to worry about noted OKC killer DeJuan Blair pulling more minutes.
Adande: Fact. The Thunder need a win in San Antonio to take the series, and this is the one they have to get. As far as they've come, I don't think they're ready to win a Western Conference finals Game 7 in San Antonio. Right now, they've got the momentum and surging confidence. It's the opportune time to strike.
Arnovitz: Fiction. The NBA has this nagging way of demanding that one team win four games before the outcome of a seven-game series is decided. And if we decided the series in Game 5, I suspect you'd have a lot of angry people in Oklahoma City who have tickets for Game 6 on Wednesday night.
Stein: A qualified 'fact.' Because I'd struggle to imagine San Antonio recovering from a Game 5 defeat ... but I'm suddenly gun-shy to say that the Thunder are finished with a loss Monday after the levels they just hit at home.
Thorpe: Likely fact, but it won't be written in stone.
Verrier: Fact. If the Spurs can't put an end to this two-game skid, on a court where they've lost only five times this season, that will signal some fundamental obstacle they just can't combat. The Thunder's tool box has always been filled with better raw materials. Now they're deploying them better, too? Scary stuff.
Adande: The Spurs. They can't lose three in a row after winning 20 straight, can they? Their role players will do better at home, right? At some point, Gregg Popovich has to counteract Scott Brooks' moves, right? Right?????
Arnovitz: San Antonio has the home floor and it's hard to believe they don't have the strength and savvy for a firm counterpunch, both tactically and psychologically.
Stein: San Antonio. Not that I say it with a lot of conviction, though. The Spurs haven't lost three games in a row all season ... and OKC still has to show us it can flow on the road when it really matters. Those are pretty much the best arguments I've got to back a Spurs pick Monday night.
Thorpe: Edge to the Spurs. But I still see three great games coming.
Verrier: San Antonio. Because I don't want to live in a world where offensive explosions by Thabo Sefolosha and Kendrick Perkins serve as the death knell of a Gregg Popovich-run team.
ESPN.com and the TrueHoop Network
J.A. Adande, Kevin Arnovitz and Marc Stein cover the NBA for ESPN.com. David Thorpe is an analyst for Scouts Inc. Justin Verrier is an NBA editor for ESPN.com.
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