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• NASCAR Cup Series race at Las Vegas (⏰ 3:30 p.m. ET FOX PRN, SiriusXM) Everything you need to know for Sunday’s race, the fourth points-paying NASCAR Cup Series event of the 2021 season.
• Tensions will be high when the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series drivers strap in for 500 miles under the lights around the high-banked half-mile track of Bristol. Kevin Harvick has accumulated the most playoff points with just three races remaining before the playoffs begin, but it’s current point leader, Kyle Busch, at +300 that has the top odds to grab the checkered flag.
• NASCAR betting: Odds, lines for Bristol playoff race. NASCAR betting: Odds, lines for Bristol playoff race. By Staff Report Wednesday, September 16, 2020 Buy This Photo ‘The Crew’ Power Rankings: Who’s our favorite character? Thursday, February 18, 2021. @nascarcasm: Radioactive, drive-thru edition.

A regular Bristol competition can have upwards of a dozen different Vegas odds NASCAR Bristol available. Let’s cover the most common betting methods: Race Winner. The purpose of this bet type is given away in its name — simply picking which driver crosses the checkered flag first. Depending on which Bristol race you’re gambling on, you must whittle down the race field from either circa-40 or 16. 2021 Bucked Up 200 odds: NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Las Vegas picks, predictions from proven model CBS Sports Autos NASCAR's Bristol Dirt Race Is Going To Be Absurdly Complicated.

Picking winner at Bristol Motor Speedway based on the odds for Sunday’s race is tricky since this is the first Cup Series race at a short track this season. As will be the case for the next five races, we also don’t get the benefit of practice or qualifying sessions to evaluate who might have what in terms of speed at the world’s fastest half-mile.

But we at least can analyze the numbers from previous NASCAR Cup Series races at Bristol and weigh them against the odds for Sunday’s race to make our picks.

There is one clear favorite for Sunday’s Cup race at Bristol for good reason. Statistically, Kyle Busch is by far the best Bristol driver in the field. And while his team has not been happy with its speed thus far this season, oddsmakers are looking past Busch’s current struggles and back at his past success at this particular track.

Below are the Vegas odds to win Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Series at Bristol, plus our top three picks of drivers who could end up taking the checkered flag.

NASCAR race odds to win at Bristol

Busch is defending Bristol spring race winner. His eight career wins at the track are the most among current drivers, and with one more victory, he would tie Cale Yarborough, Dale Earnhardt and Rusty Wallace for the second most Bristol wins in Cup Series history. Darrell Waltrip has the most with 12.

Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, below are the complete odds to win Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Series race at Bristol, starting with Busch.

Naturally as the driver with the most Bristol Cup wins in the field, Busch has the best career driver rating at the track among those in Sunday’s field. He is a notch ahead of Matt Kenseth, who is filling in for the suspended Kyle Larson with the No. 42 Chip Ganassi Racing team this season.

Vegas Odds Nascar Today

Below are the top 10 career driver ratings at Bristol among those in Sunday’s field:

History suggests a top-10 starting position is key when predicting a winner for a Cup race at Bristol. Below is a breakdown of where the winners started in all NASCAR Cup Series races at Bristol since 1961.

The top 10 starters for Sunday’s race at Bristol are as follows: 1 Brad Keselowski, 2 Aric Almirola, 3 Joey Logano, 4 Ryan Blaney, 5 Martin Truex Jr., 6 Chase Elliott, 7 Kyle Busch, 8 Kevin Harvick, 9 Matt DiBenedetto, 10 Denny Hamlin.

NASCAR at Bristol expert picks

1. Kyle Busch

We have to go chalk here with the driver who has the best career rating at the track with a 101.8. Busch also has 1,036 fastest laps run at Bristol, the most in the series.

Busch will roll off seventh Sunday based on the results of Friday’s draw for starting positions. Even though he hasn’t had the speed he wants thus far this season, a track like Bristol should allow his skills to overcome whatever shortcomings his JGR Toyota presents him.

2. Ryan Blaney

Blaney is the only Team Penske driver who has not visited victory lane in the Cup Series this season, but he is right there with Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski in terms of speed.

Blaney, who has one top five and four top 10s at Bristol, will have a good chance to break through at the half-mile track. Though he has only raced 4,001 laps in the Cup Series at Bristol, he has led 379 of them for an impressive percentage of 9.47.

3. Erik Jones

Speaking of impressive percentages in terms of laps led at Bristol, Jones has led 293 of the 2,985 laps he has raced at the track — 9.82 percent. Of the top 10 active drivers in terms of laps led at Bristol, this is the second best percentage behind Busch’s ridiculous 16.98.

Even with a small sample size, Jones has the fifth best driver rating at the track with a 94.1. And his 10.8 average running position is the best of all drivers in Sunday’s field.

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The NASCAR Cup Series will head to Las Vegas Motor Speedway on Sunday for the Pennzoil 400, which is the fourth points race of the season.

Joey Logano won the Las Vegas race (Pennzoil 400) in February of 2020 while Kurt Busch cashed tickets as the circuit returned in late September (South Point 400).

Be sure to check out my Betting Preview on this week's race, plus my Top-5 Drivers to win the race below.

Good Luck!

Pennzoil 400 Top-5 Finish Prediction

• Date: Sunday, Mar. 7, 2021
• TV-Time: FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Las Vegas Motor Speedway
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #1 Kurt Busch (35/1)
2) #88 Alex Bowman (30/1)
3) #4 Kevin Harvick (6/1)
4) #24 William Byron (18/1)
5) #19 Martin Truex Jr. (15/2)

Odds Subject to Change

Note: Winner of each race listed in RED

NASCAR 2021 Betting Results

Nascar Vegas Odds

The 2021 NASCAR season is underway and bettors backing long shots have prospered in the first three points races of the season.

In the Daytona 500 on Feb. 14, Michael McDowell cashed tickets at a 100/1 price (Bet $100 to win $10,000).

Nascar Betting Odds Las Vegas

One week later on the road course from Daytona, we watched Christopher Bell and the #20 car cash tickets at odds as high as 55/1.

On Feb. 28, William Byron kept the big ticket trend pushing forward as the No. 24 team won as a 33/1 betting choice from Homestead.

Larson celebrates return with 1st win since suspension

Kyle Larson, a 10/1 betting choice, raced to his first NASCAR victory since he was reinstated from a nearly yearlong suspension.

The win was the second straight for Hendrick Motorsports, who now have two of its four drivers locked into the playoffs just one month into the new season. William Byron being the other one.

Listed below are the winners and odds for all of the points and exhibition races for the 2021 NASCAR season.